Jewish Voter Fallout in the 2024 Election: Dems are Testing How Much This Traditionally Loyal Voting Bloc Can Take

In the seven months since Hamas’s October 7 vicious attack, we’ve seen an emboldened effort by Democratic leaders in Congress and the administration to force maximum appeasement by Israel and empower public antisemitic behavior. 

Critically, this has been the instinct of the Biden administration from the beginning. On the day of the attacks in Israel, Antony Blinken, Secretary of State, initially posted that he “encouraged Turkey’s advocacy for a ceasefire and the release of all hostages by Hamas immediately,” only to eliminate the post and replace it with “Israel has the right to defend itself, rescue any hostages, and protect its citizens.”

The same day, the State Department’s Office of Palestinian Affairs posted it “unequivocally condemned the attack of Hamas terrorists and the loss of life that has incurred. We urge all sides to refrain from violence and retaliatory attacks. Terror and violence solve nothing” — to only delete and then replace it with an overall condemnation of the attack.

Likewise, in early October, even while President Joe Biden said to Israel, “You are not alone,” his actions seemed designed to confine America’s chief Middle East ally instead of empowering it. As the weeks continued to unfold, the diplomatic game of pretend the administration is playing by talking challenging about Israel in public while greenlighting its operations in private paved the way to apparent attempts to undermine Israel’s legitimate prosecution of a just war, most notably in the president’s remark during the State of the Union that he and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu were going to have a “Come to Jesus” conversation.

Democrat Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer of New York took to the floor of the Senate in March to issue a call for new elections to replace Netanyahu in an unprecedented, bold attempt to interfere with the close ally’s internal affairs.

Next, after the World Central Kitchen tragedy, President Biden latched onto the moment to try and force Israel to back down, accusing Israel of not doing enough to protect civilians and aid workers and calling for an immediate ceasefire. The administration, continuing in the same form after Iran’s historic direct attack on Israel two weeks later, leaked that Biden told the Israeli prime minister to “take the win” instead of retaliating. 

Finally, in an attempt to undermine Israel on the battlefield and in negotiations, Biden announced Wednesday that an invasion of Rafah would result in the U.S. halting shipments of crucial offensive weaponry.

“I made it clear that if they go into Rafah — they haven’t gone in Rafah yet — if they go into Rafah, I’m not supplying the weapons that have been used historically to deal with Rafah, to deal with the cities — that deal with that problem,” said Biden to CNN.

“We’re going to continue to make sure Israel is secure in terms of Iron Dome and their ability to respond to attacks that came out of the Middle East recently,” added Biden. “But it’s, it’s just wrong. We’re not going to — we’re not going to supply the weapons and artillery shells.”

In the meantime, across America, the public square landscape has been bleak. The Biden administration hasn’t addressed the antisemitism poorly disguised as progressive freedom of speech for fear of backlash. Biden only belatedly made a speech and announced expanded antisemitism initiatives as the school year and protests began to wind down. The protests have become an open-armed embrace of terrorists like Hezbollah and Hamas. While campuses nationwide have sunk into violence and antisemitic attacks have increased almost 400% since October 7, one can only wonder what will happen next.

If Democrat Senator from Pennsylvania John Fetterman’s forceful moral clarity and rejection of the label “progressive” in support of Israel is a sign, the Pennsylvania voters Biden needs are likely unimpressed by his Israel policy. In a recent interview, Fetterman indicated how Pennsylvanians see radicalism at universities and said, “There is a germ of antisemitism in all of these protests — and sometimes it flares up.” The senator then continued, “Israel has not only a right to defend itself but to strike back against its aggressors. …For true peace, you cannot allow Hamas to function.” Fetterman’s position is in opposition to the efforts by the Biden administration to prevent an invasion of Rafah and the defeat of Hamas.

Will enough Jewish voters abandon Biden to make a difference in the 2024 presidential election? 

It’s easy to imagine a scenario during which many Jewish voters just don’t vote on election day. But even if Jewish voters don’t jump ship on Biden in battleground states, the rest of America is paying close attention, and they don’t share the same hesitation about Israel. According to the Harvard CAPS-Harris survey, 80% of voters consistently support Israel in its conflict with Hamas. 

While voters might not typically be moved by foreign policy components, they are likely to have strong convictions about Palestinian flags being raised in place of American flags. An emboldened far left escalating these tactics this summer in Chicago might spell an electoral defeat for Biden in November.